On a small heater going 16-2 last 18 plays. Hoping to keep it going through this weekend.
5 Units
Pitt -4.
Im selling Oakland at their proverbial ceiling. I don't see them being rated any higher this year than where they are right now after giving the JETS a monumental beat down. With that said, Pitt has their backs against the wall and need to run the tables to have a chance at the playoffs. In Big Bens second game back from injury I expect him to get his timing back and move the ball at will against this porous Oakland secondary. You have a west coast/east coast angle play here as well as Oakland is sitting fat and happy after that huge win against the JETS. The public has been hammering Oakland and the line has moved in the opposite direction to -4.5 twice so far this week. Situationally this is a great spot for Pittsburgh and its a big let down spot for Oakland.
4 Units
Denver 1st H -3
Indy hasn't shown in a single game this year that they can start with any rhythm on offense. Now they are going up against the best D in league. Id don't like them for the whole game as Luck has been a 4th Qtr back door cover monster.
Indy has a bye coming up and I expect some changes to this Indy staff following this game.
3 Units
Wash +14**
I haven't bet this game yet as I think I can get a better line on Sunday. The fact that Josh Reed is back as well as D. Jackson should help the Wash run game tremendously. We saw in weeks 1-2 how well they ran the ball at full strength. Washington running the ball will shorten the time that Brady has the ball. Wash off a bye and a nice confidence booster game in a comeback win vs. TB. NE most likely wins the game by 7-10, but as history has proven NE is 5-12 ATS as a DD fav. Too many points vs. non conference team.
2 Units
STL +3(-120)
I think Minn has also hit their ceiling with how well they can play. Im still not sold on Bridgewater as his number as dismal. Foles is no all star either. Trust me Im not disillusioned at the QB comparison in this game. Teddys safety net in the passing game in Diggs might not play. Minn is 6-1 ATS and now the means will regress as their perception is through the roof. Lets look at the STL games to get a sense for who this team really is;
1) Beat a healthy Seattle team in OT
2) Lost to a healthy Wash team on the road in a bad spot off the big Seattle win
3) Lost to a real good Pitt team allowing 12 pts and knocking Ben outa the game. (this is one of the key games for me in judging how good Pitt really is)
4) Beat a healthy Ariz team on the road
5) Lost in GB, but had 4-5 chances to win the game including 3 missed FGS
7 &8) Smoked two weak teams
This STL team is legit. If Foles can minimize his errors and they can control the clock with Gurley then they are going to be a contender.
Tenn +8
Mariota is back and Mike M. is known for stretching the field. They will bring it to NO as most teams do the 1st week with a new HC. Snead who has been a goto receiver for Bress is questionable. The NO secondary is the worst in the league and they have a non existent pass rush. 8 points is way to much, lets not forget who the NO team really is... Im selling NO very high and buying Tenn as low as possible. This line is 3-4 its off.
1 Unit
Pitt O48
Dallas U44
Jax U42
TB O23 TT
BOL this weekend, CC
5 Units
Pitt -4.
Im selling Oakland at their proverbial ceiling. I don't see them being rated any higher this year than where they are right now after giving the JETS a monumental beat down. With that said, Pitt has their backs against the wall and need to run the tables to have a chance at the playoffs. In Big Bens second game back from injury I expect him to get his timing back and move the ball at will against this porous Oakland secondary. You have a west coast/east coast angle play here as well as Oakland is sitting fat and happy after that huge win against the JETS. The public has been hammering Oakland and the line has moved in the opposite direction to -4.5 twice so far this week. Situationally this is a great spot for Pittsburgh and its a big let down spot for Oakland.
4 Units
Denver 1st H -3
Indy hasn't shown in a single game this year that they can start with any rhythm on offense. Now they are going up against the best D in league. Id don't like them for the whole game as Luck has been a 4th Qtr back door cover monster.
Indy has a bye coming up and I expect some changes to this Indy staff following this game.
3 Units
Wash +14**
I haven't bet this game yet as I think I can get a better line on Sunday. The fact that Josh Reed is back as well as D. Jackson should help the Wash run game tremendously. We saw in weeks 1-2 how well they ran the ball at full strength. Washington running the ball will shorten the time that Brady has the ball. Wash off a bye and a nice confidence booster game in a comeback win vs. TB. NE most likely wins the game by 7-10, but as history has proven NE is 5-12 ATS as a DD fav. Too many points vs. non conference team.
2 Units
STL +3(-120)
I think Minn has also hit their ceiling with how well they can play. Im still not sold on Bridgewater as his number as dismal. Foles is no all star either. Trust me Im not disillusioned at the QB comparison in this game. Teddys safety net in the passing game in Diggs might not play. Minn is 6-1 ATS and now the means will regress as their perception is through the roof. Lets look at the STL games to get a sense for who this team really is;
1) Beat a healthy Seattle team in OT
2) Lost to a healthy Wash team on the road in a bad spot off the big Seattle win
3) Lost to a real good Pitt team allowing 12 pts and knocking Ben outa the game. (this is one of the key games for me in judging how good Pitt really is)
4) Beat a healthy Ariz team on the road
5) Lost in GB, but had 4-5 chances to win the game including 3 missed FGS
7 &8) Smoked two weak teams
This STL team is legit. If Foles can minimize his errors and they can control the clock with Gurley then they are going to be a contender.
Tenn +8
Mariota is back and Mike M. is known for stretching the field. They will bring it to NO as most teams do the 1st week with a new HC. Snead who has been a goto receiver for Bress is questionable. The NO secondary is the worst in the league and they have a non existent pass rush. 8 points is way to much, lets not forget who the NO team really is... Im selling NO very high and buying Tenn as low as possible. This line is 3-4 its off.
1 Unit
Pitt O48
Dallas U44
Jax U42
TB O23 TT
BOL this weekend, CC
