Not only do The Chargers Cover, they also beat New England OUTRIGHT!!!

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Expert Handicapper
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I am telling everyone lay the money LINE WITH SAN DIEGO...

I have done my homework well...

Well it's time to analyze why San Diego WILL BEAT NEW ENGLAND...

I am not crazy... Ahem let's get into it right here.

San Diego Chargers can beat New England and here is why...
I'm going to start with the first argument against my theory...

New England smoked them earlier in the year
Anybody who is anybody must realize that when a team has a Young QB, despite his solid season last year, the first few games a Sophomore QB will struggle, because this is his first offseason and then to play again. This takes an adjustment.

Now here's another point I will argue in my favour...

THEY BOTH BEAT INDY IN INDY BY 4 POINTS
San Diego's win was wayyyyyy more impressive and you know why???
A.) The New England game Indy was missing 7 key starters (Harrison, Clark, Ugoh)

B.) New England trailed for most of this game, while on the other hand San Diego was in control for this whole game after the first quarter.

C.) To beat a team in their home stadium is one thing. To beat a team in their home stadium during the playoffs is a way different Plateau.

D.) The Chargers should have won by more if not for some "Iffy" calls.

E.) The Chargers played this game with their number one receiving option hurt, Their SUPERSTAR running back missed essentially the whole 2nd half. And their Starting Quarterback missed the whole 4th quarter. While the Patriots had a full healthy roster.

Don't judge a team by their whole year, look at their last 9 weeks.

If you looked at the first 8 weeks of the season, it would be easy to say that New England looked unbeatable and San Diego looked terrible.

However the last 9 weeks, New England looked very beatable, and the Chargers won 9 in a row now that they are rolling.

Why did the Chargers struggle to start the season???

The thing that everyone forgot was that this team was a 14-2 team last year. Since then, their QB has now gotten tons more experience, they learned a lot from that New England loss last year, They now have another big option in the receiving game in Chris Chambers, Vincent Jackson has emerged to be a big play receiver, Antonio Cromartie has emerged into a full blown stud at the Corner Back position.

The Reason that the Chargers struggled the first 9 weeks of the season was this. They easily had the toughest schedule to start the season, by playing New England, Chicago, Green Bay all in the first 4 weeks of the season. But anybody will tell you that when a new Coach enters a team, the team no matter if it's the same personnel will change. It's hard to replace a respected coach like Schottenheimer after he posts a 14-2 season. The Players WILL NOT buy into your philosophies and style of coaching right away. It's inevitable, especially when you are replacing Schotty with his 14-2 record. Around week 4-7 I think the Chargers had a mini 3 game winning streak going and all looked good, people were buying into the team, then all of a sudden the whole City goes up into smoke... A tradegy like that is going to immediately knock your team down a notch, because most players had families experiencing these tragedies. It's hard to concentrate on football at a time like this. 2 big losses in a row, and everybody was ready to write San Diego off. That's when I made my long term bets. Since then the Chargers have won 9 in a row (including 2 playoff wins) and it is now NORV TURNER'S team. Not Marty's anymore. Phillip rivers has emerged as a good Quarterback and he is on point with his new weapon Chambers, and his young gun Jackson. The defense has also found it's stride with the added boost of Luis Castillo, and the EMERGENCE of Antonio Cromartie...

How does San Diego Match Up with New England???

Let's break it down for you...

Randy Moss vs. Antonio Cromartie
Call me crazy here but just read this...

Antonio Cromartie was easily one of the most gifted ATHLETES to ever come out of college. He was so gifted that despite missing His whole Sophomore year, and his whole Senior year, and only playing 3 games in the 3 years before coming out, he was still taken in the First Round.

Randy Moss is one of the greatest ATHLETES to ever play the Wide receiver position. He can outjump everyone, has enough speed to burn everyone, and has height over everyone.

Enter Antonio Cromartie...

Cromartie has been talking to Deion Sanders every week on the phone call, and why you ask??? Simply this, he is the NEXT Prime Time...

Cromartie is 6 foot 3, so throw Randy's height advantage out of the picture.

Cromartie can jump 44 inches vertically so throw that advantage out of the way.

Cromartie has AMAZING speed so throw that advantage out of the way...

Cromartie can for the most part man up with Randy Moss and that will be a huge factor in this game.

Welker vs. Jammer
Jammer is a great corner, and 1 on 1 can handle Welker...




This allows the safeties for the Chargers, to occasionally hang back in the secondary, but to also be free to blitz roam and to whatever.

Pat's O-Line vs. Chargers Pass Rush
It has been proven that the only way to stop Brady is get a decent pass rush on him. The Patriots O-line is phenomenal and there are maybe 3 teams that can get enough pressure on Brady to throw him off his game. The Chargers happen to be one of them. They will get in his face, and they will cause him to make some mistakes.

Rivers vs. Pats Secondary
The Patriots are going to obviously stop LT and ask Rivers to beat them. Can he??? you betcha. The Pats secondary is overated, and if Samuel stays on Chambers, then Jackson is going to expose and pick on Ellis Hobbs. Rodney is very aggressive and loves to blitz, unfortunately he can't with Gates being the toughest tight end to cover in the league.

Chargers Receiving Core vs. Pats Secondary
Just like last game against Indy (Which I said would be a factor) Height is going to be a key factor in this game...

New England Secondary
Asante Samuel - 5 Feet 10 Inches
Ellis Hobbs - 5 Feet 9 Inches
Randal Gay - 5 Feet 11 Inches
Rodney Harrison - 6 Feet 1 Inches
Eugene Wilson - 5 Feet 10 Inches

San Diego Receiving Core
Chris Chambers - 6 ft 0 In - 44 Inch Vertical
Vincent Jackson - 6 ft 5 In
Antonio Gates - 6 Feet 4 Inches
Craig Davis - 6 ft 2 In
Kasim Osgood - 6 ft 5 In

Ladanian Tomlison vs. Lawrence Maroney
With any cold weather game, holding onto the ball will be a key factor... I'll take the Guy who has only fumbled once in his last 891 touches (Ladanian Tomlinson)

To be honest with you the only thing that scares me in this game, is the Patriots will be able to use the Screen Pass very effectively because of how aggressive The Chargers will be in their pursuit of Tom Brady...


I have done my homework and this is not a blind pick... Trust me The Chargers will win this game... I Never make a pick out of my ass... I always analyze and OVER analyze... That's why I feel a good system can never beat a great analyzed prediction...
 

UGA 2009 BCS CHAMPS
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you can throw all the comparisons out you want. the bottom line is, you are wrong, and sunday you will see that.
pats 38 chargers 14
good luck with your play anyway
 

pro gamblererer
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you can throw all the comparisons out you want. the bottom line is, you are wrong, and sunday you will see that.
pats 38 chargers 14
good luck with your play anyway
they are 14.5 point dogs...


stfu
 

Expert Handicapper
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you can throw all the comparisons out you want. the bottom line is, you are wrong, and sunday you will see that.
pats 38 chargers 14
good luck with your play anyway

You are right we will see Sunday...

I'm just letting people know that I am not picking the Chargers off the hype last week, and just to go against the Grain (New England). I actually have legitimate reasons for picking this the way I did...
 

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Good analysis, but the fact remains SD is going to have to play a perfect game to beat (or even hang with) NE in Foxboro. I'm not saying you don't make valid points, but NE is going to score points on 75% of their possessions and not turn the ball over. I dont' think the same can be said about SD. The Pats average .4 INT's per home game and SD averages 1.2 INTs per away. Fumbles are a push with neither team coughing the ball up much. But the big edge with INTs is where this game will be decided.
GL.
 

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Stick to handicapping Hockey MAC. Sandiego took a beating with injuries at Indy. Boston just got a foot of snow and will get more Friday. No way Gods green earth Sandiego comes to New England in the snow, the cold, with injuries and beats the Pats
 

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didn't NE almost lose to Baltimore?

didn't NE almost lose to Philly?

they should've lost both of those games

didn't the Giants give NE a scare?

In the 2 games they should've lost their run defense vanished and their OL didn't protect well.

I don't care if they're 222-0 those two games against thoise dreg teams means SD has a chance.

In the playoff game against Indy last year..their defense took the 2nd half off and was invisible
 
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O.K. I laughed at the Chargers ML vs Colts talk but this is getting rediculous.

Chargers over Pats? :lol:
 

Snitch hater
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O.K. I laughed at the Chargers ML vs Colts talk but this is getting rediculous.

Chargers over Pats? :lol:

So you ate shit this weekend. How about Chargers over the pathetic Raiders 9 straight times? Did u laugh at that one too? Get used to it.
 

Oh boy!
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I like the way you match up the offense vs. defense. However, you left one important matchup out: Brady vs. the Chargers' secondary. Sure the Chargers will be able to get to Brady a few times. I would like to see your analysis regarding most of the rest of the times when he is given enough time to throw.
 

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I think chargers will have a very hard time beating the patriots SU, but the 14.5 will be very tempting because I feel it will be closer then people think
 

RX Dream Team
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liked them over the colts, but I don't think they match up with NE too well.

Belichek will draw up a scheme to confuse and frustrate whomever plays at QB for SD.

Brady is just Brady, ****** is precision like.
 

Expert Handicapper
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I like the way you match up the offense vs. defense. However, you left one important matchup out: Brady vs. the Chargers' secondary. Sure the Chargers will be able to get to Brady a few times. I would like to see your analysis regarding most of the rest of the times when he is given enough time to throw.

Jammer shuts down Welker and makes him a non factor...

Cromartie is the a top 3 "Athlete" in the league. Randy Moss beats all great Corner's because they are unable to cover him because he is a superior "Athlete" and usually has the speed, height, and jumping ability over all of them... Well guess what... He doesn't have that against Cromartie...

Cromartie was drafted in the first round, dispite playing 5 games in his last 3 years in college football... That speaks VOLUMES of what kind of athlete he is. It's god given talent and you can't teach it. He has IT, and he will do a great job on them...

Now Brady will throw the ball to Gafney, Stallworth, and Watson, but that won't be enough because the pressure they get will cut his time down in half...
 

Expert Handicapper
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A message To everybody that reads this THREAD!!!


I am going on record and putting myself on a very thin limb here by saying the Chargers win this game SU...

2 things that I want after this game is completed...

If I'm wrong don't say nice try Mac, you took a real longshot... I want you guys to RUB IT IN... Tell me how stupid I was for making this pick...

However If I'm right... Never mind my bookies money will be praise enough for me...
 

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A message To everybody that reads this THREAD!!!


I am going on record and putting myself on a very thin limb here by saying the Chargers win this game SU...

2 things that I want after this game is completed...

If I'm wrong don't say nice try Mac, you took a real longshot... I want you guys to RUB IT IN... Tell me how stupid I was for making this pick...

However If I'm right... Never mind my bookies money will be praise enough for me...


If you are on here for praise, then the extent of your idiocracy does not need to wait til sunday to be defined...last time they met, Cromartie did quite a job on Moss.... forget height, the SD receiving corps is garbage if you ask me...plus, of the 4 you listed, Gates is at 50% and the other 2 warm the bench.......a couple of good games but nothing consistent... if they have a perfect game like a person wins the lottery, then yes, maybe they win by 3 pts, otherwise they get blown out.... hedge your bet bud, before you throw it all away... Rivers will choke this game, and throw 3 ints... Pats D might not match up physically, but last I heard, they got 3 rings under their belt, unlike the revamped Colts D....
 

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If you are on here for praise, then the extent of your idiocracy does not need to wait til sunday to be defined...last time they met, Cromartie did quite a job on Moss.... forget height, the SD receiving corps is garbage if you ask me...plus, of the 4 you listed, Gates is at 50% and the other 2 warm the bench.......a couple of good games but nothing consistent... if they have a perfect game like a person wins the lottery, then yes, maybe they win by 3 pts, otherwise they get blown out.... hedge your bet bud, before you throw it all away... Rivers will choke this game, and throw 3 ints... Pats D might not match up physically, but last I heard, they got 3 rings under their belt, unlike the revamped Colts D....

Cromartie in his second career start, and Cromartie in his 16th career start is CLEARLY 2 different guys...

I'm not looking for praise, I have VALID reasons for this prediction, and the only reason I ever Post on this website is because I have been very successful the last 3 years handicapping, and I wanted to share some of my success... You might find it hard to believe but people actually bet my picks...

I also make threads that have no PRAISE coming to me, and it takes my time to update it consistently... I'm here to add to this board...

I watched this board for 2-3 weeks before I started to post because I wanted to find out proper etiquette. I also have LEARNED from other people and respect some people's opinions on here.

I work 50 hours a week and I put maybe 5-10 hours a week on this website. The last thing I'm looking for is praise... If I wanted to feel good about myself I would not look for other peoples praise.

Sports Betting is and always has been a business to me...

The joke is people think this game can't and won't be close... I gave all my VALID reasons on why it will be close...

I want somebody to either Rebuttal what I've said and prove me wrong, or Give me reasons why the Patriots will kill the Chargers and let me rebuttal myself.

If nobody wants to try to argue with VALID points and wants to base this game on the "PERCEPTION" of how good the Patriots are then I have no time for that.

We will wait till Sunday to find out if I was talking out of my ass or maybe I knew what was going on.

P.S "PERCEPTION is DECEPTION" Don't buy into the hype of the New England Patriots. THEY ARE VERY BEATABLE!!!
 

Oh boy!
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Jammer shuts down Welker and makes him a non factor...

Cromartie is the a top 3 "Athlete" in the league. Randy Moss beats all great Corner's because they are unable to cover him because he is a superior "Athlete" and usually has the speed, height, and jumping ability over all of them... Well guess what... He doesn't have that against Cromartie...

Cromartie was drafted in the first round, dispite playing 5 games in his last 3 years in college football... That speaks VOLUMES of what kind of athlete he is. It's god given talent and you can't teach it. He has IT, and he will do a great job on them...

Now Brady will throw the ball to Gafney, Stallworth, and Watson, but that won't be enough because the pressure they get will cut his time down in half...

I'm afraid you're hanging your hat too much on Cromartie. He hasn't even been the most dominating person on the SD team this year. Yes, the Chargers may get Brady but I'm afraid it won't be enough times.

I'm a Charger fan so I hope you're right and I'm wrong.
 

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