Service Plays Tuesday 9/23/08

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SCOTT FERRALL

MIGHTY QUINN

Mighty hit with the Chargers (-9) Monday night.

Today it's the Diamondbacks. The deficit is 170 sirignanos.

HONDO

September 23, 2008

The Cubs added to the Metamucils' misery out at the Lame Duck Dump last night, which enabled Hondo to increase his collection of disposable dead presidents to a delightful 700 ditmars.

Tonight, he'll double-dip with Moose and Lee - 10 units apiece on the Yankees and Indians.

Armvin Sports Mlb

9/23/2008 Toronto Blue Jays 103

Dave Cokin

(959) CIN Reds
(960) HOU Astros
Take "(959) CIN Reds"
Edinson Volquez has had a great season and while he hasn't been as dominant since the break as he was in the early portion of the campaign, he's still very tough. Wandy Rodriguez is less than 100% physically and doesn't figure to go more than five or six innings here. The 'Stros are still alive but I see them taking a crucial loss tonight. The Reds are the choice.

Jim Feist

(975) NYY Yankees
(976) TOR Blue Jays
Take "(975) NYY Yankees"
Toronto had a nice late season run, but it's all over, losing 7 of 12 games. The offense has really cooled off. They take on a Yankees team that, with the pressure off, is playing excekkebt baseball. NY just won 8 of 9 games to close out Yankee stadium. The pitching has been very good and now their top pitcher of the season goes, Mike Mussina (18-9) who has a shot at 20 wins. He's had little trouble with the Blue Jays this season (3.09 ERA), and liftime he's 24-12 against them. Toronto starter Jesse Litsch has faced the Bronx Bombers twice this season.....and got bombed, with an 0-2 record and a 7.88 ERA. They've pounded him for 17 hits in 8 innings. In fact, in 21 career innings he's allowed 40 NY base runners! Have to back the hot team with the far motivated starter. Play the Yankees.

JEFFERSONSPORTS 1-0 yest
MLB EARLY RELEASE FOR TUES
San Francisco-160 (Lincecum)
Los Angeles Angels-138 (Weaver)

VEGAS STEAM LINE

Winner for Tuesday: Take CLEVELAND/BOSTON UNDER the total of 9

anyone have nsa 20* yet????? thanks and good lock!!!!

cappers Access

kc Royals
Chi White Sox

Brandon Lang
TUESDAY 10 Dime Marlins

Insider Sports Report

Arizona/St. Louis (MLB) UNDER 8.5

VEGAS EXPERTS

Cincinnati Reds at Houston Astros
Tuesday, September 23rd, 8:05 PM ET

Our hearts really go out to the Astros, whose incredible second-half rally came to an end with the onset of Hurricane Ike and the team's subsequent displacement. However, look for them to get a win tonight against an opponent they've dominated all season long. Only reason this line is where it it is because the Reds send Edinson Volquez to the hill, but Cincy has packed it in for the year, and he won't be enough to overcome the Reds 2-10 mark vs. Houston this year. Astros starter Wandy Rodriguez has actually been sharper than Volquez recently, posting a 0.66 ERA in his L3 starts.

Play on: Houston

Tue, 09/23/08 - 8:10 PMMatty O'Shea | MLB Money Line
triple-dime bet980 MIN (-135)BetUS vs 979 CWS
Analysis: White Sox manager Ozzie Guillen has used motivational tactics all season in an effort to get the most out of his players. However, I believe he may have made one critical mistake during the final week of the season in calling out starting pitcher Javier Vazquez for not being a big-game pitcher heading into a key three-game series against the Twins. Vazquez will pitch in the series opener on Tuesday and doesn't seem fazed by Guillen's comments. "I'm not looking to have to change minds if people feel that way," Vazquez said. "I won't be paying attention to that. If I do well or if I don't, I'll still go home at the end of my career and be the same person." Guillen has a valid point, but I think his comments will backfire on him in this spot. Vazquez is just 1-4 with a 5.68 ERA during his career at the Metrodome and 5-8 away from home this season with a 4.85 ERA. He got hammered in his last road start at Yankee Stadium on Thursday, surrendering seven runs and six hits in a season-low 3.2 innings on only three days of rest. The Twins are 5-1 vs. Chicago at home this year and will be sending Scott Baker to the mound. Baker is 3-1 in 10 home starts with a 3.28 ERA and got a no-decision in his last start against the White Sox back on July 31, resulting in an eventual 10-6 victory. Minnesota needs to win this game to have a shot at taking over first place with a sweep, so bet the Twins as my Triple Dime AL Game O' the Year.

Tue, 09/23/08 - 8:05 PMNick "BookieKiller" Parsons | MLB Money Line
double-dime bet978 TEX (-134)Bodog vs 977 OAK
Analysis:
TEXAS ? This is a huge series for the Rangers and A?s. On the surface, it may not seem like it because both Texas and Oakland have been eliminated from playoff contention. However, make no mistake about it, both of these teams are fully focused on finishing in second place in the AL West. Each team wants that spot and they know to make serious inroads toward it they need to take care of business in this series. Though I am typing up this analysis prior to the completion of Monday night?s game, I do know that no matter what happens in that game, the Rangers and Athletics will be separated by no more than a game and a half in the standings heading into Tuesday. Plus, if Oakland wins Monday?s game then they will only be separated by a half game in the standings. Either way, the rest of this series means a lot to each team and, in the case of Tuesday?s game, the Rangers have a big pitching edge. Oakland is handing the ball to Josh Outman for Tuesday night?s game. The left-hander just turned 24 about a week ago and he?s struggled so far at the MLB level. This will be just his fifth game (and third start) and he?s getting hit at a .296 clip so far. Also, he?s walked five and given up ten hits for a total of 15 base runners in 9.3 innings in his two starts since moving into the rotation. To make matters worse he now has the misfortune of facing the Rangers for the second time in less than two weeks. This will be the first time the inexperienced hurler will be giving a team a ?second look? and that is often when the ?wheels come off? for a young hurler. Keep in mind it also doesn?t help that the first time he faced them was in Oakland and now he has to face them in hitter-friendly Texas where the Rangers have the top batting average and top slugging percentage in the majors! While the Rangers lineup pounds the ball tonight, look for them to also get a very strong performance on the mound courtesy of Dustin Nippert! The Rangers right-hander has faced the A?s twice this season and allowed just one earned run on eight hits in nine innings of work while striking out ten! He is coming off of a rough start versus the Tigers in his last outing. However, Nippert had been rock solid in his three prior starts as he had allowed four earned runs on 16 hits in 17.3 innings of work. In Nippert?s last 21.7 innings he?s struck out 24. That is a key number because it shows how good his stuff is and with the A?s offense being one of the worst in baseball, we can rely on the Rangers hurler to shut them down while his teammates pile on the runs against Outman. That?s what makes this such a strong play and the line value is fantastic with a low number posted on this game. The Rangers are the Big Play Tuesday! Best of luck ? Nick ?The BookieKiller? Parsons

JIMMY THE MOOSE

Game: New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 23 2008 7:05PM

Prediction: New York Yankees

Reason: The Yankees have won 8 of their last 9 games. New York has won their last 5 divisional games. In their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning home record the Yankees are 7-3. New York has won 9 of Mussina's last 11 starts. In his last 16 starts vs. a team with a winning record the Yankees are 13-3. New York is 20-8 in his last 28 starts. The Jays played pretty well down the stretch but over their last few games their lack of offense has cost them. The Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. The Jays are 5-16 in Litsch's last 21 starts. The Jays are 1-4 in his last 5 starts vs. the Yankees while NY is 4-1 in Mussina's last 5 starts vs. Toronto. Play on the New York Yankees -.

WILD BILL

G1 Baltimore Orioles +155 (5 units)
Marlins -125 (5 units)
Pirates+170 (5 units)
G2 Baltimore Orioles +120 (5 units)
White Sox +120 (5 units)
San Diego Padres +215 (5 units)
Nationals - Florida Marlins Under 9 (5 units)
Dodgers - Padres Over 7 1/2 (5 units)

THE SPORTS ADVISORS

NATIONAL LEAGUE

Chicago Cubs (95-60) at N.Y. Mets (86-70)
A sensational pitching matchup is on tap at Shea Stadium, as the N.L. Central champion Cubs send Rich Harden to the mound (5-1, 1.66 ERA) opposite Johan Santana (14-7, 2.65), who takes the mound trying to keep the Mets in the playoff hunt.
New York opened a season-ending seven-game homestand at Shea Stadium with Monday?s 9-5 loss to the Cubs. Coupled with the Phillies? 6-2 win over the Braves on Monday, the Mets trail Philadelphia by 2? games in the N.L. East race, but they lead the Brewers by one game in the chase for the wild card. Jerry Manuel?s club has lost three in a row and six of its last nine, but is still on runs of 24-12 at home, 13-7 against right-handed starters, 6-2 on Tuesdays, 4-1 against the N.L. Central and 8-1 behind Santana.
Chicago, which locked up its second straight division title on Saturday, clinched home-field advantage throughout the National League playoffs with last night?s victory. Lou Pineilla?s squad is on streaks of 9-2 overall, 20-7 on the road, 11-4 against the N.L. East and 13-3 versus lefty starters.
The Cubs are now 3-0 against the Mets this season, winning all three games by the combined score of 24-7, but New York is 4-1 in the last fie meetings at Shea Stadium.
Harden has been rock solid since Chicago traded for him in July, allowing one or no earned runs in eight of his 10 starts, and he?s 3-0 with a 1.50 ERA in three road outings in a Cubs uniform. On Thursday against Milwaukee at home, Harden yielded a run on one hit and six walks over five innings, failing to get a decision as Chicago rallied for a 7-6 victory, its eighth straight win in games Harden has started.
Santana, who will be trying to record his 13th consecutive quality start tonight, has won six straight decisions going back to June, and he?s posted a 2.07 ERA in 10 starts since the beginning of August. On Thursday, the hard-throwing lefty dominated the Nationals, allowing a single run on eight hits in seven innings, cruising to a 7-2 victory.
Santana is 7-3 with a 2.26 ERA in 15 starts at home, and the Mets are 6-1 in his last seven outings at Shea. Also, he hasn?t faced the Cubs this season, but going back to his days with the Twins, he?s 1-0 versus Chicago with a 1.38 ERA in four appearances (one start) spanning 13 innings.
The over is 11-3-1 in the last 15 head-to-head clashes between the Cubs and Mets, including 7-1 in the last eight at Shea. The over is also 5-1 in the Mets? last six overall and 13-5-1 in their last 19 at home, but Chicago sports under streaks of 8-4-1 overall, 6-1 on the road and 4-1 with Harden on the mound.
ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE




AMERICAN LEAGUE

Chicago White Sox (86-69) at Minnesota Twins (84-72)
The two teams atop the standings in the A.L. Central kick off their most important series of the season at the Metrodome, with the White Sox pitting veteran Javier Vazquez (12-15, 4.32) against Minnesota youngster Scott Baker (9-4, 3.69).
Chicago leads the Central by 2? games and can lock up the division title with a sweep of this three-game series. The White Sox are in the midst of a 10-game road trip that has seen them go 3-4 so far, and they?ve lost nine of their last 14 games on the highway. On the bright side, the Pale Hose are on positive runs of 10-3 after an off day, 5-1 within the division and 10-4 on Tuesdays, but they?ve dropped 20 of their last 27 on artificial turf.
The Twins are limping to the finish line, having lost six of their last eight overall (all on the road) and four straight to A.L. Central rivals. However, they?re 45-20 in their last 65 games in the Metrodome, where they?ll spend the final week of the season, and 15-3 in their last 18 after a day off.
The home team has dominated this rivalry in 2008, winning 12 of the 15 meetings, with the Twins going 5-1 hosting Chicago. Also, the Twins have won four of Baker?s last five starts against the White Sox, but Chicago is 5-0 the last five times Vazquez has opposed Minnesota.
After posting a 1.83 ERA in his first three September starts, Vazquez imploded in his last trip to the mound Thursday at Yankee Stadium, giving up seven runs (six earned) on six hits and four walks over just 3 2/3 innings, losing 9-2. Chicago is just 2-4 in the right-hander?s last six starts. On the road this year, Vazquez is 5-8 with a 4.85 ERA.
Like Vazquez, Baker is coming off a rough outing, as he lasted just 4 2/3 innings at Cleveland on Wednesday, surrendering four runs and six hits and getting a no-decision in his team?s 6-4 loss. Minnesota is just 4-5 in the right-hander?s last nines starts, but seven of those came on the road. At home this season, Baker is 3-1 with a 3.28 ERA in 10 tries, seven of which the Twins have won.
Vazquez is 6-5 with a 4.86 ERA in 15 career starts against the Twins, including 2-0 despite a 5.11 ERA in two outings this year. Meanwhile, Baker has faced Chicago seven times, going 2-2 despite a beefy 7.99 ERA (1-0 with a 5.73 ERA in two outings vs. the Sox in 2008).
The over is 7-1 in the last eight meetings between these rivals (3-1 in Minnesota), 6-0 in Baker?s last six starts against the White Sox (4-0 at home) and 5-0-1 in Vazquez?s last six outings versus Minnesota (4-1 in the dome). Also, the over for the Twins is on runs of 5-1 overall, 8-0-2 on Tuesdays, 8-1-1 against winning teams, 7-3-1 in divisional battles, 9-3-1 on turf, 4-0 with Baker on the mound overall and 5-1 with Baker starting at home.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER

ProCapper Sports

Just thought I would share this. I followed this guy on this site a few years back in basketball and he was unreal. I have stayed in touch with him even after he went tout and sucked it up. He has been doing really well in football and made me quite a bit of money. Tonight he told me he has his biggest play of the year in baseball so I put half my bankroll on it. He advised me not to because that is never a good idea no matter how good the play but I could not refuse. He made me most of the money so even if it loses I figure it was money he made me in the first place.

Brewers/Pirates OVER 9 (20 Units)