GoSooners Big 12 Plays Of The Week For 11-29

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* 13-11
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*** 17-22-1
**** 8-3

All I can say is Saturday night's game against Tech was one of the best and most complete games that I've seen OU play in years. I thought they had a good chance to cover. But I wasn't expecting that kind of performance. OU's defense gave Harrell fits all night. And I think it's pretty obvious now that the Sooner defense has been undervalued all year. When you have an offense that has scored over 60 points in the last 3 games, it's natural that this team is going to give up points in the second half when they've got over a 40 point lead going into the fourth quarter. But many around the country including ESPN perceived this as bad defense. When in reality the points scored were all points after the fact. There is a big difference between giving up 35 points in a competetive game comnpared to a non-competetive game.

Needless to say the BCS is a hot mess. Just judging by all of threads started on the subject around the RX and other places, people think this is an unfair system. And I don't disagree. Texas is getting jobbed because all of their hard games were played in October and not November. And the BCS poll is all about what have you done for me lately. So if you put OU in Texas place, I would be pissed too. It all makes me long for the old days before the BCS when we just had the Coaches and the AP polls. The highest team in the polls goes to the conference championship game. Then we have the bowl games.

What the BCS has done to our bowls is it's taken the suspense out of football. With just one game for all of the marbles, it makes all of the other bowls meaningless. I long for those days when my college buddies and I used to load up on beer and snacks and prepare for one big New Years Day of football going from 11 in the morning to 11 at night, where all of the games were played on the same day. And each game had meaning to determin the national champ. I can remember OU winning two national championships from games that were played out on New Years Day. In 1975 we sat around and watched number 1 Ohio State get knocked off by UCLA in the Rose Bowl, and then OU beat Michigan that night for the National Championship in the Orange. And in 1985 OU needed Tennessee to beat Miami in the Sugar Bowl, and then they beat Penn State that night in ther Orange to win it all. National Champions were determined that way almost every year. And it made New Years Day the single biggest day of football all year. But we'll never see anything close to those days again unless we have some kind of playoff system or just junk the BCS all together. Personally I don't mind a little argument of who is number 1 at the end of the year. Two split champions in the polls never bothered me. If my team got a piece of the national title, that was always good enough for me. But a playoff system would definitely put the right team in there. And the playoff games would give us some excitement along the way. Each game would mean something instead of the non-suspensful drab BCS computer bowl system we have now.



Okie Lite (+7.5) over OU **
I hate going against my team while their hot. But at least on paper this is simply too many points to be giving the Pokes on their home field. OSU has been playing possum for the last few weeks with their less than spectacular performance against Colorado. And now they've been laying low for the last two weeks waiting for OU to stop by for the Bedlam showdown. This looks like the classic letdown spot for OU. Winning big in primetime and then hitting the road against a dangerous rival is always a tough spot. Especially when your going against an offensive mind like Gundy, who has been drawing up offensive schemes to throw at this OU defense for the last couple of weeks. And this is the problem I have with taking the Sooners here...OU has always been great at defensing Texas Tech, because Stoops is so familiar with Leach's schemes. Plus OU had two weeks to prepare for Tech. But Gundy is a different story. They never play OU the same way twice. And now that the Pokes have such a good passing attack to go with their outstanding run game, it makes this team very hard to prepare for in one week. Gundy is a very unpredictable play caller..He'll call a very conservative game on the road like he has the last two weeks. But then he'll open it up at home. And that's what I think he'll do here. I think he's going to open the pass game up and test the OU secondary. My bet is he'll have enough success to keep this game close to the number. Nobody has been able to stop OU all year. And I don't expect any different in this game..But going against a ball control type of offense like OSU, I'm betting that Sam Bradford and company won't be on the field as much in this game as they've been for the last few weeks. OSU ran for 217 yards against Texas on the road. And I believe they are fully capable of doing it here..So it definitely makes OSU the potential running dogs in this game. And with the game being played in Stillwater makes this a decent play.
 
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Great write up and I agree wholeheartedly with all your observations. Good Luck my friend.


BTW Nebraska is really growing on me this week. Thoughts?
 

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Great write up and I agree wholeheartedly with all your observations. Good Luck my friend.


BTW Nebraska is really growing on me this week. Thoughts?
VOR....I'm in the process of reading a few team headlines and getting injury reports...I'll get back with you tonight on on it. Good luck this week.
 

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bummer ... we are on different sides on this one.
Oklahoma is focused. They will cover in my opinion.
It's more of a gut feeling.

Usually my gut wins, but I can't give you a exact percentage (probably like 85%)

:)
 

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It may be worth keeping some cash in reserve to either buy off the Oklahoma State bet or add to it, depending on how things turn out in the Thanksgiving night Texas/Texas A&M game.

Texas' likely hope to hold off the Sooners in the BCS poll will hinge on a very convincing win over the dogass Aggies. If the Horns can cover that 5-touchdown spread with room to spare then Stoops will need his boys to again perform like monsters on the field.

But if Texas doesn't impress in the way OU and Florida have been doing recently, then it's likely all OU would need would be a win, period. One point or 50 points, it probably wouldn't make a difference.
 

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bummer ... we are on different sides on this one.
Oklahoma is focused. They will cover in my opinion.
It's more of a gut feeling.

Usually my gut wins, but I can't give you a exact percentage (probably like 85%)

:)
jb...I really disagree with you here. If this wasn't Okie Lite and I wasn't betting against my team, i would have made this an even bigger play...The atmosphere will be completely different for this game than it was in Norman..Thanks to Boone Pickens, OSU has expanded their stadium. And it was already loud because the stands go right up to the sidelines in this stadium. This is going to be a very difficult game for OU to win..I even considered buying a little of OSU on the ML in this game. The angles really favor OSU bigtime for this game with OU coming off a HUGE emotional win and OSU coming in fresh at home off a bye week.
 

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It may be worth keeping some cash in reserve to either buy off the Oklahoma State bet or add to it, depending on how things turn out in the Thanksgiving night Texas/Texas A&M game.

Texas' likely hope to hold off the Sooners in the BCS poll will hinge on a very convincing win over the dogass Aggies. If the Horns can cover that 5-touchdown spread with room to spare then Stoops will need his boys to again perform like monsters on the field.

But if Texas doesn't impress in the way OU and Florida have been doing recently, then it's likely all OU would need would be a win, period. One point or 50 points, it probably wouldn't make a difference.
AA...Texas will be one of my biggest plays of the week. I'll be putting it in my thread later today.
 

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AA...Texas will be one of my biggest plays of the week. I'll be putting it in my thread later today.

You know, I've also been mulling a heavy Texas bet, but I've got this little nagging thing in the back of my head that's kept me from it so far. From listening to how Mack Brown talks about the BCS this year -- he's disparaged "style points" instead of subtly lobbying for his team, like he's done in past years -- and from watching late-game Texas performances, I've started to wonder if Mack is shooting more for a winnable non-championship BCS game this season while positioning his team to be in a great spot for a run at the title in 2009.

He didn't keep the offensive pedal down against either Baylor or Kansas while Bob Stoops was making big gains in the polls because of the convincing way his team was winning. Part of Mack's decision not to run up the score in those games can be attributed to the need to get banged-up starters out of the lineup, of course, but it seems very un-Mack like.

There's been discussions around Austin that maybe he's got an eye more on 2009 than 2008. I can't make up my own mind on the matter.

Even if he's not trying to run up the score, though, I think there's a great chance of covering 35. Will Muschamp wanted that shutout against Kansas badly, and he really should have gotten it were it not for a weird play near the goal line. I don't look for the Aggies to put much on the scoreboard in this game.
 

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Like OU in this weeks game but not enough to put money on it. However, I assume Texas will be looking for some pay back after the last two years. Looking forward to your play on the game.
 

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AllAmerican...BCS aside, this is a major payback game for Texas after losing the last two years to the Aggies..The Aggies have absolutely nothing to hang their hat on this year. They have neither the offense or the defense to compete with the big boys..Hell, they couldn't even compete with Baylor..A fresh rested Texas team will obliterate the Aggies..To tell you the truth, I don't even see the Aggies scoring here. Texas defense is playing at a high level right now..If Kansas can't score on them, I know A&M can't. Spend the money the Horns..Their going to cover. I've already bought it at -34.
 

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Texas (-34) over Texas A&M ***
Fellas...It's better to not try to overthink this game..The Aggies are a very bad team right now, facing a Texas team who has lost the last two games to them. This is a major payback/BCS style points game for Texas. That's all you really need to know. The Aggies have the worst defensive line in the Big 12..And they are getting worn down badly towards the end of the season. Even Baylor racked up over 500 yards on this defense in their last game. And OU had over 650 yards of total offense against A&M in a 66 point shellacking that could have been alot worse if Stoops hadn't let off the gas pedal in the 4th quarter. Plus the anemic Aggie offense only manged 300 yards against Baylor and 275 against OU. Which means they aren't going to get anything against Texas. Look for a rested Texas team to come out very sharp on offense and put up a load of points here. I predict that 45 by Texas will cover this spread. And I can easily see Texas getting into the 50's or 60's in this game.
 
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Too much at stake for OU to have a letdown, especially knowing that Texas will be all in taking A&M to the woodshed..you know your teams better than I do, but I don't think Stoops will let them rest ater the TTech game...I really think the Sooners want Florida....
 

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Too much at stake for OU to have a letdown, especially knowing that Texas will be all in taking A&M to the woodshed..you know your teams better than I do, but I don't think Stoops will let them rest ater the TTech game...I really think the Sooners want Florida....
VD...It's going to be very hard for OU to pull away from one of the most balanced offenses in the country on a cold night game in Stillwater. This is the kind of game that we'll know which way it's going to go early on in the first quarter. If OSU hangs with OU in the first quarter and keeps their fans in the game, then it's going to be a long night and a close game. I know OU looked unstoppable against Texas Tech. But unfortunatly OU can't take their 85,000 fans with them this weekend. Bedlam is always tough game to win when it's played in Stillwater. The last 2 games there have been decided by 6 and 3 points. And those OU teams won the Big 12 in those years.
 

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Texas (-34) over Texas A&M ***
Fellas...It's better to not try to overthink this game..The Aggies are a very bad team right now, facing a Texas team who has lost the last two games to them. This is a major payback/BCS style points game for Texas. That's all you really need to know. The Aggies have the worst defensive line in the Big 12..And they are getting worn down badly towards the end of the season. Even Baylor racked up over 500 yards on this defense in their last game. And OU had over 650 yards of total offense against A&M in a 66 point shellacking that could have been alot worse if Stoops hadn't let off the gas pedal in the 4th quarter. Plus the anemic Aggie offense only manged 300 yards against Baylor and 275 against OU. Which means they aren't going to get anything against Texas. Look for a rested Texas team to come out very sharp on offense and put up a load of points here. I predict that 45 by Texas will cover this spread. And I can easily see Texas getting into the 50's or 60's in this game.

I agree. Texas beats them something like 63-10. It may get uglier than that, but i doubt it. How many possessions does Texas average per game? Multiply that by 7 and you have their total for the game. A&M's piss poor D will not keep Texas out of the end zone one time.
 

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You have to be absolutely nuts to bet against OU after the other night. I have never seen anything like that. Hell they could of scored 100 against the #2 ranked team if they wanted.:toast:
 

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GS - do you know what Kendall Hunter's status is for the Pokes? I dont think I saw it in your write up. When he went down last week vs the Buffs, their O fell apart.

Thanks.
 

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GS - do you know what Kendall Hunter's status is for the Pokes? I dont think I saw it in your write up. When he went down last week vs the Buffs, their O fell apart.

Thanks.

yeah, that is an excellent question. If he can't play, that is a big problem.
 

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Seems like those pesky cowboys always play us tough no matter where its played. I wouldn't make Ok. St. a high pick but if history means anything, you are probaly right.
 

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GS - do you know what Kendall Hunter's status is for the Pokes? I dont think I saw it in your write up. When he went down last week vs the Buffs, their O fell apart.

Thanks.
Guys...I'm betting that Kendall Hunter will be fine..He had a quadricep injury that occured in the Colorado game. But Gundy said that he could have gone back in and played in that game. They just held him out for safety purposes. Plus Colorado was two weeks ago. He's had plenty of time to heal up..And he's listed as probable for this game. If for some reason he can't play, then I'll knock the game down a star or take it down. But probable usually means ready to go.
 

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I agree. Texas beats them something like 63-10. It may get uglier than that, but i doubt it. How many possessions does Texas average per game? Multiply that by 7 and you have their total for the game. A&M's piss poor D will not keep Texas out of the end zone one time.
The Texas line is already up to 35..I advise you guys if you haven't got it yet, to get it now while it's at a halfway reasonable number.
 

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