I read across the street that a player got booted from BFC for playing a balt -7 and over 19 first half parlay. My book allows all types of first half parlays. What types of parlays are worth playing? Would it best to just play what you like. If you like a big favorite in the first half parlay it with the over or could you blindly bet fav/over and dog/under parlays and be profitable. Thanks for any possible insight.
If you wager on 100 correlated parlays(depending on the sport and +edge), you will probably win. If you wager on 15, you could go 0-15. I remember the days when it was a bookmaker's badge of honor to accept almost any parlay. Then they started frowning on big dog parlays in baseball, and the game changed. Hell, how about 6.5pt teasers in the NFL at even money. Those were the days.
you don't have to play it both ways, but might as well, IMO !
I think the dog/under is slightly better, in general.
When I could play these, I'd usually play both ways, but might go 70% to the under, 30% to the over, or any other split I desired.
It's probably better to play both, to reduce variance....if you have an out for it. I wouldn't trust any online book taking it, but would do it with a local dumb enough to take it.
no reason not to take both, but $100 on either is about the same as $50 on both ( long-term expectation).
The trick would be betting an amount ( with the local), that lets you keep playing them, next week, and not kill the guy in one week.
There are lots of other ways to do it.
I'll give one here:
Boxing
Parlay a TKO/KO with under 11.5 ( or whatever) rounds. It's unlikely the Knockout comes in the last 30 seconds of the fight, if it comes.
I think the dog/under is slightly better, in general.
When I could play these, I'd usually play both ways, but might go 70% to the under, 30% to the over, or any other split I desired.
It's probably better to play both, to reduce variance....if you have an out for it. I wouldn't trust any online book taking it, but would do it with a local dumb enough to take it.
no reason not to take both, but $100 on either is about the same as $50 on both ( long-term expectation).
The trick would be betting an amount ( with the local), that lets you keep playing them, next week, and not kill the guy in one week.
There are lots of other ways to do it.
I'll give one here:
Boxing
Parlay a TKO/KO with under 11.5 ( or whatever) rounds. It's unlikely the Knockout comes in the last 30 seconds of the fight, if it comes.
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the total and the side are not correlated.
the reason the parlay may be +ev, in some cases, is that you are multiplying your advantage.
a correlated parlay would be the ml, and spread on the same team. for instance [broncos +3] X [broncos +150]
the reason books dont take them is simple, cause they been burned in the past
the reason the parlay may be +ev, in some cases, is that you are multiplying your advantage.
a correlated parlay would be the ml, and spread on the same team. for instance [broncos +3] X [broncos +150]
the reason books dont take them is simple, cause they been burned in the past
Some bad advice in this thread. Do the math for yourselves. SportsDatabase has everything you need.
Bottom line is when a book says "you can't do this on us" it means it's profitable.
The problem is the books that allow this, many I wouldn't trust with my money. I don't know of an "A" or "B" rated book that willingly accepts correlated parlays.
Bottom line is when a book says "you can't do this on us" it means it's profitable.
The problem is the books that allow this, many I wouldn't trust with my money. I don't know of an "A" or "B" rated book that willingly accepts correlated parlays.
